The top 5million new energy vehicles will promote

2022-08-05
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What changes will the ownership of 5million new energy vehicles make in the motor industry

with the rise of the new energy vehicle industry, as the core component of the new energy vehicle - motor, it receives the most certainty in terms of the import amount. It is irreplaceable in the fields of hybrid, pure electric and fuel cell vehicles

according to the sales volume and structure of new energy vehicles, the market scale of drive assembly (motor + electronic control) will reach about 12.5 billion yuan in 2017, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of new energy vehicle drive assembly (motor + electronic control) market will reach 35% in the next three years, and the market scale will exceed 30billion yuan by 2020

as we all know, as the world's largest new energy vehicle market, China is expected to produce 810000, 1.23 million and 1.75 million new energy PHA artificial heart valve passenger vehicles in 2018-2020; The growth peak of new energy passenger cars has passed, and will maintain stable growth in the future. It is estimated that the output from 2018 to 2020 will be 125000, 129000 and 133000; Special new energy vehicles are expected to benefit from the motorized replacement of logistics vehicles, and are expected to enter a rapid growth period in the future. It is estimated that the output from 2018 to 2020 will be 107000, 128000 and 153000. The total output of new energy vehicles from 2018 to 2020 is expected to be 1.043 million, 14. In 2025, zhangweihua, head of the business division of the headquarters, will have 84000 and 2.034 million vehicles

figure: 2014-2020 China's new energy vehicle output and corresponding motor demand forecast table

benefit from the future new energy vehicle production and sales growth. Based on the calculation of one set of motor per vehicle, the motor demand of new energy vehicles in 2018-2020 is expected to be 1.043 million sets, 1.484 million sets and 2.034 million sets, with a market scale of 19billion

diagram: Prospect of new energy motor market scale from 2014 to 2020

permanent magnet synchronous motor becomes the mainstream of motor market

it is understood that as the mainstream drive motor in the market, permanent magnet synchronous motor has the advantages of high power density, high efficiency, small size, light weight, diversified structure and wide application range compared with other motors. Relevant data show that from January to October 2017, permanent magnet synchronous motors accounted for 78.1% of China's new energy vehicles in the field of passenger cars; In the field of passenger cars, permanent magnet synchronous motors account for 94.6%; In the field of special vehicles, permanent magnet synchronous motors account for 78.6%

figure: distribution of motor types in the catalogue of the first five recommended models

at present, all motor products of BYD, Yutong Bus, Anhui Juyi, United Automotive Electronics and other enterprises use permanent magnet synchronous technology

diagram: detailed list of motors used by domestic complete vehicles

integration of electric control of motors has become the industry development trend

up to now, the motors of domestic new energy vehicles can generally meet the market requirements. According to the information of electric vehicle resources, integration of electric control of motors has become the industry consensus. With the large volume of new energy passenger vehicles, the trend of fine differentiation and refinement of the new energy vehicle industry chain is obvious

the relevant person in charge of Huichuan technology said in an interview with electric vehicle resources that, as the enterprise with the highest market share of new energy bus electronic control, the company has begun to layout the electronic control and powertrain systems of new energy logistics vehicles and passenger vehicles, and has cooperated with foreign advanced enterprises. With the technical foundation accumulated in the industrial control industry and the advanced experience of overseas enterprises, the company is expected to grow into one of the most competitive enterprises in the field of new energy vehicle motor electronic control

on the future development of the motor industry, Dayang electric mentioned that "the company has completed the strategic layout of the new energy vehicle industry chain and formed a closed loop of the industry chain by acquiring Shanghai electric drive, participating in Ballard and expanding the new energy vehicle operation platform business." He also said that to further enhance the influence of the enterprise, it is very important to improve the performance of the product itself

experts in the industry believe that the future technical development trend of drive motor:

first, the modularization and integration of motor electronic control. Through the integration of motor and electronic control, the purpose of reducing the space size of parts and improving the space utilization rate of cars can be achieved

second, to control noise and enhance comfort, the powertrain mode of "motor + electronic control" is used to replace the powertrain mode of "engine + transmission" of traditional vehicles, so as to reduce noise during vehicle operation and enhance comfort

third, improve the motor performance parameters. New energy vehicles put forward high requirements for the motor speed regulation range, torque and power density, which further requires enterprises to start with raw materials, purchase materials with excellent performance to ensure the realization of motor performance, and improve the motor manufacturing and assembly level through automated production lines to ensure product quality

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